The economy over which President Trump is presiding is strong and is apparently getting much stronger. The first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate of 3.2 percent has set up the reality that will most probably be noted in the November 2020 elections due to the fact that it links where the U.S. economy will be by then – not in recession.
Recessions are outlined when the GDP’s growth is negative for at least two consecutive quarters.
The 2020 election isn’t going to be close, as innovation is accelerating and not declining. A recession coming before elections seems more and more unlikely as each day passes. It isn’t a surprise that Trump dominates the GOP with an approval rating of more than 80 percent.
Also, the Trump administration’s de-regulatory push is accelerating. Rule-of-law judges that are disinclined to accept the bureaucrats’ excuses for over-regulation, are being confirmed to the bench more and more. There is a revival of the readiness levels of the U.S. military. The relationship between America and its strongest ally, Israel, is at its best in decades.
The democrats, meanwhile, are facing a Hobbesian choice of Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders or former vice president Joe Biden. Sanders and Harris are said to be too far to the left, more so Sanders than Harris. Biden is way past his prime. The others are said to be seeking other rewards.
What was an entertaining and amusing aside suddenly becomes a commitment and, with that, well, comes a barrage of attacks. Where Trump deflects incoming with ease, the Democrats scatter, some limping away, some blown out of the picture.
The liberals are certain that Trump will lose, just because they dislike him, however they have not considered that 40 percent of the country love him and at least there is another 10 percent that are very much committed to considering the alternative in comparison to Trump, not reflexively voting against him.
Unemployment remains incredibly low. The markets are soaring. That’s not a given for the fall of 2020, but better to be soaring than falling 18 months out. On immigration, border security has always been a legitimate concern (and Immigration and Customs Enforcement a legitimate agency).
Most people don’t speak much on this issue, as they decline to state anything that might label them as racist, but the reality of open borders is understood to be an unqualified disaster by most of the country, and most of the country understands the Democrats to be arguing for a de facto open-border system, if not a de jure one.
The message last week from a booming economy should have rocked the Democratic field. Alas, the party seems collectively intent on poring over the Mueller report yet again in the hope that, somehow, someway, there’s something there. However, the probe is over. No collusion. No obstruction.
Democrats have to campaign on something else besides a great economy, rising values of savings, low unemployment across every demographic, clarity about allies and enemies abroad, and a rebuilding military. It’s going to be extremely tough condemning everything about Trump except all that he has accomplished that President Barack Obama couldn’t or wouldn’t.